2012 Delegate Count

The tables below heavily borrow from the wonderful work of The Green Papers, which is a thoroughly comprehensive site on the overwhelmingly complex Democratic and Republican National Convention delegate selection rules. I have added some of my own interpretations, but the numbers below are just estimates. Reasonable people can (and do) disagree on the rule interpretations that underlie them.

 

Last updated: 5/23/12
 
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Delegate allocation by jurisdiction. Below is my best estimate of how delegates are presently allocated in all fifty states, five territories, and the District of Columbia. Note that some jurisdictions select all or some of their delegates to be uncommitted to any candidate. At the Convention, a candidate must win a majority (and not just a plurality) of the delegate vote to receive the nomination.
  
 
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Total delegate allocation. Below is a total based on the table above.

 
 
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Delegate delegation map. Below is a map based on the initial table above. A state is colored for a candidate if that candidate holds at least a plurality of the state delegation.

 
 
 
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Popular vote approximation map. Below is a map totally unrelated to delegate allocation. Rather, it reflects winners of jurisdiction-wide popular vote contests. A few jurisdictions have multiple such contests, and a few have none. In such events, I select whatever electoral process (a) involved the greatest popular participation, (b) was most closely associated with the delegate selection process, and/or (c) occurred earliest. I use discretion in determining how much weight factors (a), (b), and (c) receive in a given jurisdiction.

 

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